Northern (N): Soviet Union (NS). Soviet World Wide Policy: Western Discusssions and Attempts to Assess Soviet Intentions Towards the Rest of the World, Including China; Reorganisation of Form and Circulation of the 'Crystal-Gazer', Popular Name for HMG Russia Committee's Summary of Indications Regarding Soviet Foreign Policy

A file relating to international estimates of the likelihood of war in the near future and related issues. Documents include a discussion of the American embassy's annual "Estimate of Soviet Intentions"; an article from Nieuwe Rotterdamsche Courant about preparations the Soviets might have been making for war in 1952; a record of a discussion between British diplomats and W. Averell Harriman, the former American ambassador to the Soviet Union, relating to the likelihood of Soviet attack and the capability of their forces, and also to affairs in India, Iran and Indochina; papers relating to American troops arriving in Iceland by air and Finnish concerns that this might reflect preparations for war; and consideration of publishing a talk by a senior British diplomat which discussed factors in assessing Soviet and communist policy, and the history of Russian interaction with other countries.